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Five Themes for Investors to Explore in 2022
By Maurice Stouse, Financial Advisor and Branch Manager
As we are now into a whole new year, the more things change, the more they stay the same: The Covid virus is still with us, the money supply is still at historically high levels, rates remain low, housing remains strong. Unemployment is now at pre-Covid levels. Some things are not the same: Inflation is at its strongest in two generations, there are more jobs than job seekers, the employment rate (percent of eligible Americans working) is at an all-time low. Savings rates are higher, U.S. household net worth (as reported by Josh Brown and CNBC) is at an all-time high of $130 trillion. In generations past, that net worth was mainly comprised of home value and pensions. Today over a third of that is in stock holdings, pensions are no longer a significant source, and housing maintains its influence on people’s overall net worth. Something to ponder when fretting about national debt levels: household net worth is more than four times the national debt. And overall national wealth (the value that all governments hold) is around 10 times greater than the national debt. That is not to say that the current elevated levels of debt are not challenging to economic growth and sustainability – considering debt to GDP is at over 100%, the highest since 1946 – but still worth noting that overall wealth far exceeds overall debt.
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